In looking at the teams that have won championships over the last ten years or so, there seems to me to be three ways of doing it.
Golden State. They were extremely fortunate in the draft and the players they drafted developed into NBA stars with surprising quickness, especially given where they went in the draft. The main ones were Curry, Thompson, Barnes and Green. None were #1 picks. Yet they became stars in this league while they were still under their rookie deals, which meant they were cheap so the team could afford pay or bring in good players to surround them. Livingston, Bogut, Iguadala and David Lee are not there if they had to pay max money to that first four. In short, they either really know what they are doing in terms of scouting and player development, or they got very, very lucky in the draft. Very few teams have won this way.
San Antonio. Get superstars to take less than value so you can afford to pay supporting players. They have been very lucky that Duncan, Ginobiliy and Parker have all put winning ahead of their own personal wealth. It is rare that people do that. That has been one key to the New England Patriots success over the last 15 years. Tom Brady and others take less than market value.
Miami Heat and Doc's Boston Celtics. Get three major stars, pay them what they are worth and fill in the best you can. Doesn't need much explanation. We're in this boat, as are a number of other teams, Memphis, OKC. One of the keys to going all the way with this strategy, in addition to finding aging vets who have another good year or two, is finding a couple young, cheap players, who over deliver. Miami found Chalmers and Cole. Neither is great, but without them, they probably don't win championships. Look at the aging players they had in those years, MIke Miller, Rashard Lewis, Juwan Howard, Shane Battier, Chris Anderson, Ray Allen. Some delivered and some didn't.
One of Doc's failings has been his unwillingness or inability to find those good young players to suppliment the aging guys in the draft. In Boston he found one in Rondo and so the big three became the big four. He also had several other young or relatively young players who helped tremendously, Posey, Perkins, Big Baby and Tony Allen. In fact, he surrounded his superstars with young hungry players. Most were or became journeymen, but they had a lot in the tank. Here, he stumbles along with aging players (we all know who they are) who don't have anything left to offer, or guys who have been bounced around because they are not viewed as winners like Smith. I would say Jamal fits in there along with him, but I don't want to get a whole thing started, so pretend I didn't say Jamal.
Bottom line, we have our big two, three, or four, depending on if you include DJ and JJ. Blake and CP3 are not taking pay cuts so that we can fit into category 2.In our history of high draft picks we have never drafted well, save for the very early 90's when we stockpiled Manning, Smith, Grant, Norman and looked like a young team almost ready to enter category 1. Of course, that wasn't going to happen with DTS here.
So, we are left to move forward as a category three team, hoping to find the right players that take us over the top. There is, of course, a fourth category, which is one we have been in for the entirety of this franchise. Stinking and trying to figure out how to get into one of the first three categories mentioned. Let's not go back to that. Enjoy what we have and hope Pierce or Stephenson step up.




