Teodosic Is for Real, Even if That Burger Story Isn't

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clipper*joe
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Cool story about Milos. Kinda hard to find a Clippers story on the NYT.

Milos Teodosic Is for Real, Even if That Cheeseburger Story May Not Be

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/12/spor ... ppers.html


clippyclip
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He is the single biggest difference maker on this team. For all of people's complaints about Doc's rotations, Austin's minutes, etc, etc, while all also true, Milos' absence causes the offense to stagnate, and also has a negative defensive impact.


LAC_12
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clippyclip wrote:
He is the single biggest difference maker on this team. For all of people's complaints about Doc's rotations, Austin's minutes, etc, etc, while all also true, Milos' absence causes the offense to stagnate, and also has a negative defensive impact.

rather big overstatement... I agree, to a lesser extent. I really do love his game. Hurt too often, but in glimpses he's done well. He doesn't connect with DJ as much as he could, neither does Austin. But Lou connects with him a bit... I know DJ's offensive arsenal is extremely limited. But it hurts more when you do not have a consistent PG. He is reliant on a PG to work with him (pick and roll, fast break, mismatch, etc.)


clippyclip
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LAC_12 wrote:
rather big overstatement... I agree, to a lesser extent. I really do love his game. Hurt too often, but in glimpses he's done well. He doesn't connect with DJ as much as he could, neither does Austin. But Lou connects with him a bit... I know DJ's offensive arsenal is extremely limited. But it hurts more when you do not have a consistent PG. He is reliant on a PG to work with him (pick and roll, fast break, mismatch, etc.)

I wouldn't say it's an overstatement at all.

Quote:
…his impact for the better-than-expected Clippers, who are 17-8 when he’s in uniform and 11-18 when he’s out.

There was also this article: https://basketball.realgm.com/analysis/248661/Milos-Teodosics-Surprisi ng-Impact-On-The-Clippers-Defense


Agent0
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Those were early numbers, and there were some outliers causing those numbers that had nothing to do with him such as the opposition shooting poorly from the line when he was on, and extremely poor 3PT% that he individually couldn't cause. Like the article itself said:
    Opponents are currently only converting 29.3 percent of their 3-point attempts when Teodosic is on the floor compared to 36.5 percent when he’s off it. As we’ve learned over the years, 3-point defense is essentially random, so it’s a good bet variance will kick in at some point and opponents will start making more 3’s when Teodosic is on the floor. The same effect is happening at the free throw line. Though teams are getting to the line less often when Teodosic is in, they’re shooting 72.8 percent when they get there. When Teodosic is off the floor, that number rises to 77.9. Unless Teodosic is whispering secret, Serbian spells into opponents’ ears as they shoot free throws, this is also bound to change.
With a larger sample size, things have changed just like the article said they would, and while the team is still a solid +5.3 pts/100 possessions when he is on the floor, that is nothing earth-shattering or specifically impressive. For example, we were +19.6 pts/100 possessions when Chris Paul was on the floor last season, +16.6 in 15-16, +20.9 in 14-15, and Paul's "weakest" in the Doc era was +9.1 in 13-14, still a very good number. So with a larger sample size, Milos is no longer objectively the "single biggest difference maker" and certainly not having that crazy on-court impact that we've seen from other players. That doesn't mean he isn't a nice positive influence on the court though, he can still be a nice positive influence without it being any grand difference.....


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